Race 4A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 21.0% 17.3% 14.9% 12.6% 9.9% 8.2% 6.2% 4.0% 2.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 8.8% 11.0% 9.2% 7.9% 12.0% 9.0% 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 5.6% 3.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 4.5% 3.3% 5.2% 4.7% 7.1% 6.4% 5.7% 8.0% 9.3% 13.7% 11.8% 11.3% 7.2% 1.8%
Samantha Gebb 1.9% 2.4% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.0% 6.5% 7.6% 8.5% 10.8% 14.9% 14.5% 12.1% 3.6%
Mayumi Roller 12.2% 15.7% 13.6% 12.9% 10.5% 10.3% 7.8% 6.7% 4.9% 2.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Maria Sinagra 5.5% 4.9% 6.5% 6.9% 7.2% 8.5% 11.7% 7.9% 10.8% 9.8% 9.3% 6.8% 3.6% 0.6%
Lauren Turner 13.8% 15.9% 11.3% 12.1% 11.1% 9.5% 9.1% 6.9% 4.2% 3.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Annie Eckmann 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 4.1% 2.8% 4.4% 4.9% 5.8% 8.0% 8.8% 13.8% 14.1% 18.2% 7.1%
Irene Jacqz 5.5% 4.0% 5.2% 6.5% 7.2% 8.2% 9.6% 10.6% 11.8% 10.2% 9.6% 6.9% 4.1% 0.6%
Nancy Hagood 11.5% 10.8% 13.0% 12.1% 10.8% 11.4% 7.4% 8.5% 7.1% 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 6.5% 7.5% 8.8% 11.3% 12.0% 14.9% 14.2% 3.4%
Corina Radtke 7.6% 8.1% 9.1% 9.4% 10.2% 11.0% 9.4% 9.6% 9.1% 6.9% 4.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Heather Richardson 2.2% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% 5.9% 5.0% 8.7% 10.0% 17.9% 26.0% 11.0%
Amanda Castagna 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 2.7% 3.0% 5.2% 11.7% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.