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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester-0.43+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-1.38+1.63vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.10-0.77vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.44-1.35vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.55-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Rochester-0.4324.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Rochester-1.389.7%1st Place
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2.23Syracuse University-0.1035.0%1st Place
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2.65Rochester Institute of Technology-0.4422.9%1st Place
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3.89Rochester Institute of Technology-1.558.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Shaffer | 24.1% | 24.6% | 25.6% | 18.3% | 7.4% |
| Josephine Freis | 9.7% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 27.7% | 34.1% |
| Tucker Ballou | 35.0% | 28.2% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 4.5% |
| Ethan Hall | 22.9% | 24.9% | 25.4% | 18.1% | 8.6% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 23.6% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.