Race 1A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 18.0% 16.2% 13.8% 13.2% 11.1% 9.9% 7.2% 4.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Green 20.0% 18.4% 17.2% 14.0% 10.5% 6.7% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Madison Bashaw 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 10.7% 10.3% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 10.0% 7.2% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 7.8% 11.2% 16.4% 18.4% 14.4% 1.7%
Elizabeth Gildea 3.8% 4.6% 5.6% 6.5% 6.2% 7.8% 9.2% 10.0% 10.2% 12.1% 10.7% 9.0% 4.2% 0.2%
Eva Blauvelt 14.7% 15.2% 15.7% 13.2% 10.8% 10.4% 7.7% 6.4% 3.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.8% 5.4% 5.2% 5.9% 7.0% 8.2% 9.5% 11.0% 12.2% 11.9% 9.2% 6.9% 2.8% 0.1%
Anna Groszkowski 2.5% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 6.9% 7.4% 9.8% 13.5% 20.6% 18.0% 2.1%
Bracklinn Williams 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 4.0% 5.8% 8.8% 17.4% 43.1% 8.2%
Grace Watlington 3.3% 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 5.7% 6.2% 8.3% 8.8% 11.7% 11.4% 12.8% 11.3% 6.7% 0.6%
Islay Van Dusen 4.5% 5.0% 5.1% 5.7% 8.4% 9.7% 9.4% 9.9% 10.5% 11.7% 10.2% 7.3% 2.6% 0.1%
Heather Kerns 6.3% 7.3% 7.8% 8.2% 9.7% 8.2% 12.2% 11.2% 9.5% 8.2% 6.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Julia Kane 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 2.7% 6.5% 86.8%
Sofia Segalla 11.2% 9.9% 10.5% 10.5% 11.0% 11.7% 9.0% 9.0% 7.4% 5.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.