Race 5A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nancy Hagood 12.3% 12.8% 13.9% 11.4% 10.1% 9.6% 9.5% 5.9% 6.0% 4.1% 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Arielle DeLisser 10.0% 8.8% 9.1% 11.3% 10.3% 9.1% 9.4% 10.6% 8.5% 5.8% 3.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Mayumi Roller 16.2% 13.4% 13.6% 12.8% 11.3% 9.2% 8.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 11.9% 13.6% 12.8% 11.9% 10.6% 11.9% 7.2% 8.0% 5.6% 3.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 6.3% 7.3% 8.5% 9.8% 11.2% 10.6% 9.5% 9.4% 8.5% 7.8% 6.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Mia Cooper 3.6% 3.6% 3.9% 4.6% 5.2% 6.9% 8.7% 7.7% 9.5% 12.9% 12.3% 10.9% 7.9% 2.3%
Irene Jacqz 5.7% 7.2% 6.7% 5.9% 7.2% 8.2% 10.3% 9.4% 10.1% 10.5% 8.9% 6.0% 3.0% 0.9%
Maria Sinagra 6.5% 6.1% 7.2% 6.4% 7.7% 7.6% 9.4% 10.4% 9.8% 7.7% 9.3% 8.1% 3.2% 0.6%
Mary Hall 18.0% 17.8% 14.2% 14.4% 10.2% 9.7% 5.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 2.8% 2.7% 2.5% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 6.5% 7.5% 9.3% 11.2% 13.1% 13.1% 14.4% 4.5%
Annie Eckmann 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 3.5% 4.9% 5.6% 6.4% 7.0% 10.3% 13.6% 16.6% 17.4% 6.4%
Heather Richardson 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 4.0% 4.7% 6.2% 9.2% 10.9% 16.1% 25.4% 12.4%
Eleanor Conroy 3.3% 2.5% 3.3% 4.0% 5.2% 4.5% 5.1% 8.2% 10.5% 11.4% 13.1% 13.4% 12.5% 3.0%
Amanda Castagna 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 5.9% 13.0% 69.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.