Race 6A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Arielle DeLisser 7.9% 9.4% 11.0% 10.1% 8.4% 11.2% 10.1% 10.4% 6.9% 4.9% 4.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Irene Jacqz 5.4% 5.8% 6.8% 6.7% 7.9% 7.9% 8.8% 9.3% 11.8% 10.5% 9.0% 6.3% 3.2% 0.6%
Corina Radtke 7.8% 10.0% 8.4% 8.0% 9.3% 10.7% 10.5% 8.6% 9.1% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Mayumi Roller 13.9% 13.9% 13.7% 12.6% 12.3% 9.9% 6.6% 7.5% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Hall 18.2% 17.7% 16.6% 12.5% 10.3% 6.8% 7.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Maria Sinagra 6.0% 4.8% 6.2% 6.1% 8.2% 9.3% 9.9% 9.0% 10.1% 9.0% 9.7% 6.9% 4.2% 0.6%
Mia Cooper 4.9% 3.3% 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 6.2% 7.5% 9.6% 8.7% 11.2% 11.1% 11.2% 6.9% 1.6%
Nancy Hagood 12.2% 13.7% 10.6% 11.8% 12.1% 8.2% 8.9% 7.3% 5.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Eleanor Conroy 3.6% 2.8% 2.2% 3.6% 4.3% 5.4% 5.5% 5.5% 9.4% 12.9% 14.4% 13.3% 13.0% 4.1%
Lauren Turner 13.1% 12.2% 11.7% 12.9% 10.9% 10.1% 9.8% 7.7% 5.0% 3.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Annie Eckmann 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 2.6% 5.6% 4.4% 6.6% 8.1% 9.4% 12.9% 15.6% 19.8% 5.8%
Amanda Castagna 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.6% 1.4% 1.9% 2.1% 5.6% 11.1% 73.1%
Samantha Gebb 3.2% 2.5% 3.4% 4.4% 3.9% 4.6% 6.1% 7.2% 9.3% 12.4% 13.0% 14.7% 11.6% 3.7%
Heather Richardson 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.1% 3.3% 5.2% 6.6% 8.9% 9.2% 16.2% 27.9% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.