Race 7A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mia Cooper 3.5% 3.2% 5.9% 7.1% 4.6% 5.2% 8.0% 7.9% 10.2% 13.1% 12.4% 10.1% 6.2% 2.6%
Corina Radtke 8.1% 9.3% 9.5% 9.3% 8.8% 10.5% 10.1% 10.7% 9.0% 6.3% 4.3% 2.4% 1.7% 0.0%
Mary Hall 21.5% 16.6% 14.3% 11.9% 12.3% 7.4% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Mayumi Roller 14.3% 16.3% 11.4% 12.6% 11.7% 9.4% 8.9% 5.8% 4.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 10.0% 14.2% 12.9% 12.3% 12.5% 9.2% 9.3% 6.5% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Maria Sinagra 5.9% 4.9% 6.0% 7.2% 8.2% 8.4% 8.4% 10.6% 10.4% 9.1% 9.6% 6.6% 4.0% 0.7%
Samantha Gebb 2.6% 3.2% 3.0% 6.3% 5.2% 5.1% 5.8% 7.7% 6.7% 11.8% 14.0% 13.0% 12.2% 3.4%
Irene Jacqz 6.8% 4.7% 6.6% 4.9% 7.7% 8.9% 8.2% 8.8% 10.4% 9.8% 9.8% 8.5% 4.0% 0.9%
Arielle DeLisser 9.1% 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 9.6% 11.4% 10.2% 10.1% 9.3% 5.8% 3.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Nancy Hagood 12.0% 12.2% 12.8% 10.9% 9.5% 11.7% 10.2% 6.5% 6.5% 3.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Heather Richardson 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 5.4% 6.6% 7.9% 9.1% 17.8% 25.9% 13.2%
Eleanor Conroy 2.2% 3.1% 3.4% 3.9% 4.1% 4.6% 6.6% 6.7% 9.2% 12.7% 14.2% 12.8% 13.1% 3.4%
Annie Eckmann 2.4% 2.3% 2.8% 2.6% 3.4% 4.3% 4.0% 7.0% 7.9% 10.7% 12.3% 16.7% 18.2% 5.4%
Amanda Castagna 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.3% 1.6% 0.9% 1.7% 3.5% 6.1% 12.5% 70.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.