Race 8A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maria Sinagra 6.1% 5.9% 6.0% 8.9% 8.2% 7.6% 9.4% 9.8% 9.3% 9.3% 8.6% 7.0% 2.9% 1.0%
Heather Richardson 1.1% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 2.9% 3.5% 4.7% 4.8% 6.0% 7.2% 9.4% 17.5% 27.1% 9.7%
Corina Radtke 9.1% 8.5% 8.4% 8.6% 8.5% 10.1% 10.3% 9.5% 8.8% 8.2% 6.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Irene Jacqz 3.7% 6.6% 5.6% 7.3% 7.0% 8.7% 7.9% 9.4% 11.6% 10.4% 11.0% 6.7% 3.0% 1.1%
Nancy Hagood 11.5% 12.0% 12.4% 11.0% 10.5% 11.6% 8.5% 8.5% 5.6% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Mia Cooper 3.8% 3.7% 4.5% 4.4% 5.3% 4.9% 8.8% 9.1% 10.9% 11.5% 11.3% 10.9% 9.2% 1.7%
Mary Hall 20.8% 18.0% 14.7% 13.3% 10.4% 8.3% 6.3% 4.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 3.1% 3.6% 3.9% 4.3% 3.5% 5.3% 5.6% 7.0% 8.5% 11.9% 13.9% 11.5% 13.7% 4.2%
Lauren Turner 12.7% 10.9% 12.5% 12.0% 13.5% 10.5% 9.1% 5.9% 5.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 3.2% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.7% 5.5% 5.3% 8.1% 9.5% 10.2% 13.1% 16.1% 13.2% 2.9%
Amanda Castagna 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.9% 5.5% 11.2% 72.9%
Mayumi Roller 13.7% 15.5% 14.3% 12.1% 11.1% 8.5% 8.2% 7.1% 3.7% 2.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 9.2% 9.1% 9.1% 9.5% 10.1% 10.0% 9.5% 9.8% 8.7% 7.6% 3.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Annie Eckmann 1.9% 1.8% 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 4.9% 5.9% 5.6% 8.6% 10.1% 11.9% 16.8% 17.0% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.