Race 9A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Corina Radtke 7.6% 8.8% 10.3% 10.1% 9.2% 9.1% 9.8% 9.2% 9.6% 5.9% 4.7% 3.3% 2.2% 0.2%
Mia Cooper 3.4% 5.1% 4.6% 6.4% 5.8% 7.0% 8.0% 8.0% 9.6% 10.8% 12.7% 10.1% 6.8% 1.7%
Arielle DeLisser 9.2% 10.0% 9.5% 9.4% 8.6% 8.5% 11.1% 9.6% 9.0% 7.0% 5.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Nancy Hagood 12.1% 13.0% 11.1% 11.7% 11.1% 10.5% 9.1% 6.7% 6.5% 4.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Maria Sinagra 4.0% 5.2% 7.7% 6.9% 7.8% 8.5% 9.7% 9.9% 10.3% 9.6% 10.0% 5.8% 4.0% 0.6%
Mayumi Roller 14.7% 12.6% 13.4% 14.0% 11.8% 9.7% 6.5% 6.6% 4.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 6.0% 5.2% 8.6% 6.6% 6.9% 7.9% 8.2% 10.8% 10.5% 10.8% 7.8% 6.8% 3.1% 0.8%
Mary Hall 21.3% 17.6% 12.9% 13.0% 9.7% 9.0% 6.5% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 12.2% 13.6% 11.8% 10.8% 12.5% 9.9% 9.6% 7.6% 4.5% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 3.0% 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.9% 6.6% 6.0% 6.6% 9.5% 11.1% 12.7% 14.5% 13.3% 4.8%
Annie Eckmann 1.6% 2.9% 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 5.1% 4.5% 7.1% 7.3% 9.1% 14.4% 16.2% 17.4% 6.8%
Eleanor Conroy 2.7% 2.0% 3.5% 2.9% 5.6% 5.2% 6.0% 8.0% 8.7% 12.6% 11.6% 14.3% 13.2% 3.7%
Heather Richardson 1.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.8% 2.8% 2.3% 3.7% 4.0% 5.7% 8.8% 10.8% 17.4% 25.4% 11.5%
Amanda Castagna 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 3.3% 6.4% 12.7% 69.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.