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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.05vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.95+5.79vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+4.35vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-0.37vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.03+2.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.97vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.61vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65-1.61vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.96-3.56vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.20-2.46vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.79-1.42vs Predicted
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14American University-2.91-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Georgetown University2.2017.5%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University0.954.2%1st Place
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7.35Fordham University1.134.8%1st Place
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3.63Cornell University2.3820.5%1st Place
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5.28University of Pennsylvania1.7710.9%1st Place
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4.24U. S. Naval Academy2.0415.8%1st Place
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9.64University of Virginia-0.031.8%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.3%1st Place
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6.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.8%1st Place
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8.39Christopher Newport University0.653.6%1st Place
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7.44George Washington University0.965.0%1st Place
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9.54Washington College0.201.7%1st Place
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11.58Princeton University-0.790.9%1st Place
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13.65American University-2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 20.5% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.8% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 1.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 1.4% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 47.6% | 9.0% |
| Julia Kane | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 7.2% | 86.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.