Race 10A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 19.2% 19.6% 13.8% 12.3% 10.2% 8.0% 7.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 14.2% 15.2% 12.4% 11.3% 10.6% 11.0% 8.6% 5.7% 5.1% 3.2% 1.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 5.2% 5.3% 6.8% 7.2% 7.3% 7.0% 9.6% 8.7% 10.6% 10.3% 10.2% 6.9% 4.0% 0.9%
Mayumi Roller 15.0% 14.3% 14.2% 11.9% 10.9% 9.8% 7.4% 6.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 7.2% 7.9% 10.4% 10.1% 9.9% 9.9% 9.8% 8.8% 8.5% 8.5% 5.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Heather Richardson 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 2.2% 3.6% 4.6% 4.7% 7.4% 11.7% 16.4% 28.6% 11.9%
Annie Eckmann 2.4% 2.3% 3.5% 3.1% 4.5% 4.7% 5.0% 6.4% 7.5% 9.1% 12.9% 17.2% 16.6% 4.8%
Samantha Gebb 3.3% 3.1% 3.1% 4.4% 4.9% 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 9.0% 10.3% 12.0% 14.3% 14.4% 3.6%
Nancy Hagood 12.2% 10.6% 11.3% 11.3% 12.4% 10.1% 8.5% 9.8% 6.2% 3.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 9.8% 9.4% 9.2% 9.4% 10.9% 9.0% 8.0% 5.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Eleanor Conroy 2.5% 3.0% 2.1% 3.8% 4.9% 5.5% 5.6% 8.3% 8.2% 10.1% 14.3% 16.7% 11.0% 4.0%
Mia Cooper 3.7% 2.6% 4.3% 5.7% 4.8% 8.1% 7.2% 10.0% 10.2% 12.2% 11.8% 9.7% 7.4% 2.3%
Amanda Castagna 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 1.0% 1.6% 3.0% 2.6% 5.4% 10.3% 71.9%
Maria Sinagra 5.5% 5.9% 7.4% 7.0% 7.3% 8.4% 11.0% 9.0% 11.6% 9.7% 8.3% 4.9% 3.6% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.