Race 11A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nancy Hagood 11.9% 13.1% 12.4% 10.9% 12.1% 9.8% 8.8% 6.9% 4.4% 5.1% 2.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 14.6% 13.6% 12.5% 12.8% 9.4% 11.2% 9.0% 7.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Mia Cooper 3.9% 4.5% 4.0% 6.5% 5.5% 6.3% 6.0% 7.8% 10.7% 11.6% 13.8% 10.6% 7.8% 1.0%
Corina Radtke 6.6% 8.3% 9.2% 10.4% 10.4% 9.6% 9.5% 8.8% 10.4% 7.8% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Mary Hall 17.4% 17.4% 16.2% 13.1% 9.4% 8.4% 7.3% 4.5% 4.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 5.5% 5.1% 5.6% 5.2% 7.2% 9.1% 9.8% 10.2% 9.5% 10.2% 9.3% 7.5% 5.2% 0.6%
Annie Eckmann 2.7% 1.9% 3.7% 2.9% 4.9% 4.0% 5.7% 6.6% 6.7% 9.0% 14.3% 15.2% 16.9% 5.5%
Arielle DeLisser 9.5% 9.5% 9.7% 8.6% 9.2% 9.8% 9.5% 9.2% 8.0% 7.5% 5.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Mayumi Roller 14.7% 13.4% 13.9% 12.3% 11.7% 9.4% 7.7% 7.2% 4.6% 2.4% 1.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 4.1% 5.7% 7.0% 7.7% 9.3% 10.8% 12.6% 15.1% 11.4% 4.8%
Maria Sinagra 5.5% 5.8% 5.5% 7.2% 9.1% 8.4% 9.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.8% 8.2% 6.2% 4.3% 0.4%
Samantha Gebb 2.9% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 5.1% 6.2% 8.3% 10.7% 11.1% 11.8% 13.6% 13.1% 4.0%
Heather Richardson 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 4.3% 6.3% 8.3% 11.7% 15.0% 26.7% 11.5%
Amanda Castagna 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.9% 6.5% 10.9% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.