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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+2.48vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+1.64vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.76+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.61+4.06vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.78+0.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-0.04vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.93vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.80-0.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.50-2.98vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.83-4.94vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.29-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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3.64Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.46Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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5.31College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.31University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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5.06Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.63Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 19.2% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 20.0% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Christine Porter | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 32.8% | 6.9% |
| Shannon Heausler | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 0.7% |
| Megan Magill | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 23.6% | 3.3% |
| Christina Pryne | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 6.4% | 85.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.