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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+4.41vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.71vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+1.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18-0.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.34+1.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-0.22vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.97-0.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-2.43vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.06+0.57vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.20-0.19vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-4.72vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-3.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.59-2.84vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-1.50vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Roger Williams University2.688.4%1st Place
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6.41Brown University2.739.8%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.4%1st Place
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5.26Yale University2.7311.6%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University3.1818.4%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.345.9%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island2.786.0%1st Place
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8.57Boston College1.974.7%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University2.226.5%1st Place
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11.57University of Vermont1.062.6%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College1.201.1%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.385.5%1st Place
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10.93Boston University0.972.9%1st Place
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12.16Northeastern University1.591.9%1st Place
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14.5Salve Regina University0.970.5%1st Place
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13.32Fairfield University0.421.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 10.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 41.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.