Race 12A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Corina Radtke 8.2% 8.9% 12.8% 6.9% 9.7% 9.6% 10.7% 7.9% 9.0% 6.9% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Nancy Hagood 14.1% 13.1% 11.6% 13.7% 10.3% 11.3% 8.0% 5.6% 6.2% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 10.5% 10.6% 10.5% 9.7% 10.2% 9.5% 8.7% 9.7% 8.2% 6.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Mary Hall 19.3% 20.2% 13.3% 13.4% 11.1% 7.6% 6.5% 3.9% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 3.5% 6.5% 5.6% 8.8% 6.6% 8.3% 8.2% 10.5% 9.0% 10.4% 10.2% 7.4% 4.3% 0.7%
Arielle DeLisser 8.6% 7.8% 10.0% 9.9% 11.7% 9.3% 9.3% 8.8% 8.5% 5.9% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 15.9% 13.2% 13.1% 13.6% 10.6% 9.0% 8.3% 6.8% 4.1% 2.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Heather Richardson 1.6% 2.4% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.1% 3.7% 4.2% 5.3% 7.6% 9.9% 15.7% 26.0% 12.8%
Maria Sinagra 6.0% 5.5% 6.8% 5.7% 7.6% 8.6% 11.4% 11.5% 9.9% 9.5% 7.4% 6.2% 3.3% 0.6%
Eleanor Conroy 2.9% 3.0% 2.7% 2.8% 5.2% 5.4% 6.4% 6.5% 9.8% 10.9% 12.8% 16.2% 11.4% 4.0%
Mia Cooper 3.7% 4.2% 4.0% 5.7% 5.6% 6.8% 7.1% 9.0% 9.4% 12.0% 11.8% 11.2% 7.6% 1.9%
Samantha Gebb 2.7% 2.5% 3.8% 3.5% 4.1% 6.1% 6.9% 8.7% 8.6% 10.6% 13.2% 12.3% 13.4% 3.6%
Annie Eckmann 2.8% 1.6% 3.3% 3.3% 3.8% 4.5% 4.1% 5.7% 8.3% 10.3% 11.9% 16.8% 17.8% 5.8%
Amanda Castagna 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.6% 4.1% 4.9% 12.1% 70.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.