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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+1.99vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.81vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.45+1.81vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+1.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.88vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95-0.35vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.03+0.75vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65-1.80vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13-3.73vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.20-2.54vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.79-1.61vs Predicted
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14American University-2.91-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Cornell University2.3821.6%1st Place
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3.99Georgetown University2.2017.6%1st Place
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5.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.5%1st Place
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6.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.977.2%1st Place
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6.81University of Pennsylvania1.455.5%1st Place
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7.03George Washington University1.075.3%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Naval Academy2.0416.1%1st Place
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7.65Old Dominion University0.954.4%1st Place
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9.75University of Virginia-0.032.1%1st Place
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8.2Christopher Newport University0.653.3%1st Place
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7.27Fordham University1.135.2%1st Place
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9.46Washington College0.202.4%1st Place
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11.39Princeton University-0.790.7%1st Place
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13.65American University-2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 21.6% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.6% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.1% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 2.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 1.5% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 43.4% | 8.0% |
| Julia Kane | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 7.4% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.