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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.52vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+1.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+3.45vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.83vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+1.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.32vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-0.03-0.11vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.65-2.77vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.20-2.60vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.79-1.59vs Predicted
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14American University-2.91-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Cornell University2.3822.3%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University2.2018.1%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Naval Academy2.0416.4%1st Place
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7.45Fordham University1.134.8%1st Place
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5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.5%1st Place
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7.6Old Dominion University0.954.1%1st Place
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6.89George Washington University1.075.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Pennsylvania1.456.3%1st Place
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6.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.976.3%1st Place
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9.89University of Virginia-0.031.4%1st Place
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8.23Christopher Newport University0.653.3%1st Place
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9.4Washington College0.202.4%1st Place
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11.41Princeton University-0.790.9%1st Place
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13.62American University-2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 22.3% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.1% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.4% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 2.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 13.0% | 1.4% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 43.4% | 9.0% |
| Julia Kane | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 86.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.