Race 13A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 22.0% 19.1% 14.2% 12.0% 9.4% 7.7% 6.6% 3.4% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 2.6% 3.8% 3.9% 5.2% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 6.8% 8.9% 10.5% 14.8% 14.0% 10.8% 3.0%
Corina Radtke 8.8% 8.8% 10.5% 8.1% 9.3% 11.3% 8.0% 10.5% 8.0% 7.0% 6.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Catherine Shanahan 8.4% 10.8% 10.4% 11.1% 10.7% 10.1% 9.6% 8.5% 6.9% 6.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Nancy Hagood 11.1% 12.3% 12.5% 13.1% 10.5% 10.4% 8.9% 7.6% 5.1% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Irene Jacqz 5.9% 4.5% 6.0% 6.7% 7.9% 8.2% 7.8% 10.6% 11.8% 9.8% 8.3% 6.9% 5.3% 0.3%
Arielle DeLisser 10.7% 10.6% 10.1% 9.1% 11.3% 8.9% 9.9% 8.0% 8.1% 6.1% 4.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Annie Eckmann 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 4.1% 4.9% 5.2% 7.5% 10.8% 11.9% 14.7% 18.1% 6.8%
Lauren Turner 13.1% 12.9% 12.5% 13.1% 11.5% 9.6% 8.5% 6.7% 5.1% 3.7% 1.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 4.1% 5.6% 6.1% 8.5% 8.0% 11.5% 12.4% 14.7% 12.9% 4.2%
Heather Richardson 1.7% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 1.8% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 6.7% 6.9% 11.0% 16.6% 26.0% 13.1%
Mia Cooper 4.0% 3.8% 4.4% 5.1% 5.7% 7.1% 8.7% 8.9% 10.0% 10.7% 10.2% 11.5% 8.3% 1.6%
Maria Sinagra 6.0% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 8.0% 8.5% 10.0% 10.5% 10.0% 7.7% 8.4% 6.1% 3.3% 0.8%
Amanda Castagna 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.9% 0.3% 1.2% 0.7% 1.5% 1.9% 3.9% 6.4% 12.1% 69.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.