Race 14A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 21.0% 19.2% 14.6% 11.8% 10.9% 7.4% 5.1% 3.7% 3.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Arielle DeLisser 8.9% 11.1% 10.4% 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 10.7% 10.2% 7.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Maria Sinagra 6.2% 5.8% 8.1% 7.4% 6.9% 9.1% 7.8% 9.9% 10.5% 9.4% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 0.5%
Nancy Hagood 11.7% 12.7% 12.5% 11.6% 13.0% 9.8% 7.2% 7.7% 6.6% 3.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 4.7% 5.1% 5.6% 8.1% 8.2% 8.0% 9.5% 8.3% 10.7% 8.8% 10.2% 7.9% 4.4% 0.5%
Catherine Shanahan 10.4% 7.9% 10.3% 11.0% 10.7% 10.1% 9.2% 9.1% 8.2% 6.0% 4.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Mia Cooper 4.9% 4.5% 6.1% 5.3% 5.2% 8.0% 7.9% 8.9% 8.7% 10.3% 11.3% 10.5% 6.7% 1.7%
Corina Radtke 8.4% 10.1% 9.0% 8.8% 9.4% 9.2% 11.9% 7.8% 7.3% 7.1% 6.0% 3.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Samantha Gebb 3.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 5.4% 7.1% 8.7% 13.5% 12.4% 14.2% 12.5% 4.1%
Lauren Turner 13.2% 13.3% 12.8% 13.1% 11.2% 9.7% 10.2% 5.9% 3.9% 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Annie Eckmann 1.9% 2.6% 2.3% 3.1% 2.8% 4.6% 5.9% 6.6% 6.2% 10.5% 11.8% 16.0% 19.8% 5.9%
Amanda Castagna 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 1.8% 2.4% 5.2% 11.2% 73.0%
Eleanor Conroy 3.4% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% 7.9% 10.4% 10.9% 12.6% 14.9% 11.0% 3.8%
Heather Richardson 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 2.9% 5.4% 6.9% 7.2% 11.3% 15.7% 27.3% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.