← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.88+4.11vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.20+1.54vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.23vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.14vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.13+1.75vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University0.96+0.77vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.65+0.80vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.62vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia-0.03+0.05vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University0.95-2.89vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-5.00vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-0.79-1.34vs Predicted
-
13American University-2.91-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.11Cornell University1.8810.8%1st Place
-
3.54Georgetown University2.2023.6%1st Place
-
6.23University of Pennsylvania1.458.2%1st Place
-
3.86U. S. Naval Academy2.0417.4%1st Place
-
6.75Fordham University1.135.8%1st Place
-
6.77George Washington University0.966.3%1st Place
-
7.8Christopher Newport University0.653.5%1st Place
-
5.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.769.4%1st Place
-
9.05University of Virginia-0.032.3%1st Place
-
7.11Old Dominion University0.953.9%1st Place
-
6.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.977.5%1st Place
-
10.66Princeton University-0.791.1%1st Place
-
12.73American University-2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 23.6% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 17.4% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 50.2% | 8.2% |
| Julia Kane | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 6.2% | 89.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.