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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+1.97vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+2.48vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+1.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.43+3.89vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.40+0.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.65vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.09vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.03+2.93vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.36+1.39vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.30-1.74vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.24-2.56vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.15-3.39vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.31-2.62vs Predicted
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14Queen's University-2.13-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.3%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.29Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.89Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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5.52Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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10.93Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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10.39William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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8.26Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.61Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.38Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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13.59Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 28.5% | 21.8% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Austin | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 20.4% | 29.3% | 8.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 4.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 0.6% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 23.0% | 2.9% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 83.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.