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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+2.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.87vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.23vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.88+0.21vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.96+0.71vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+0.13vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.50vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.03+0.24vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.99vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.79-0.21vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-4.20vs Predicted
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13American University-1.45-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Georgetown University2.2020.9%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Naval Academy2.0418.4%1st Place
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7.02Fordham University1.135.2%1st Place
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6.23University of Pennsylvania1.458.2%1st Place
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5.21Cornell University1.8811.3%1st Place
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6.71George Washington University0.966.6%1st Place
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7.13Old Dominion University0.955.1%1st Place
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5.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.769.6%1st Place
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9.24University of Virginia-0.032.2%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.977.4%1st Place
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10.79Princeton University-0.790.9%1st Place
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7.8Christopher Newport University0.653.8%1st Place
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11.85American University-1.450.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 20.9% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 18.4% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 7.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 30.0% | 28.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Valentina Palma | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.