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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+3.34vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.98vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.40+2.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+0.69vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.61+2.57vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.36+4.50vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.60vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.43-1.00vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.03+1.13vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.30-2.65vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.31-1.41vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.24-4.61vs Predicted
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14Queen's University-2.13-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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2.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.3%1st Place
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5.47Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.69Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.57Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.5William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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5.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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11.13Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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8.35Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.59Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.59Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.9% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 27.4% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 22.2% | 3.6% |
| Liana Folger | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 22.6% | 29.4% | 7.9% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 24.6% | 3.9% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 8.8% | 83.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.