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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+2.66vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.88+3.15vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.38vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+2.88vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.45+1.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.14vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.96+0.05vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.02vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.03+0.32vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95-2.85vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.79-0.12vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-4.25vs Predicted
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13American University-1.45-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Georgetown University2.2021.6%1st Place
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5.15Cornell University1.889.5%1st Place
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5.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7610.0%1st Place
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6.88Fordham University1.135.6%1st Place
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6.21University of Pennsylvania1.457.6%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy2.0417.8%1st Place
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7.05George Washington University0.965.9%1st Place
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5.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.6%1st Place
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9.32University of Virginia-0.031.8%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University0.955.9%1st Place
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10.88Princeton University-0.791.0%1st Place
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7.75Christopher Newport University0.654.0%1st Place
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11.75American University-1.450.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 21.6% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 31.4% | 28.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Valentina Palma | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 20.0% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.