← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.85+3.21vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.74+2.46vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.05vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.40+1.24vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.90vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.43+1.38vs Predicted
-
7Columbia University1.30+0.62vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.13vs Predicted
-
9William and Mary0.36+0.68vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.24-2.19vs Predicted
-
11Washington College0.03-0.81vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University0.31-2.18vs Predicted
-
13Queen's University-2.13-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
4.46Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
-
2.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.3%1st Place
-
5.24Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
-
4.1U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
7.38Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
-
7.62Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
4.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
-
9.68William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
-
7.81George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
-
10.19Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
-
9.82Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
-
12.66Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 12.7% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 27.1% | 21.1% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 14.6% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Liana Folger | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 24.9% | 3.3% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 22.2% | 29.4% | 6.1% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 22.0% | 25.7% | 3.6% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 85.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.