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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+3.51vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.40+3.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.45vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.30+2.95vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-0.80vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.43+0.65vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74-3.30vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.31+1.00vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.03+0.41vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.36-1.21vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-7.06vs Predicted
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13Queen's University-2.13-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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3.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.95Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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7.65Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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4.7Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.0Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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10.41Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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9.79William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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4.94George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.65Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 23.7% | 21.7% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Liana Folger | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 12.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 25.1% | 27.8% | 3.5% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 23.0% | 33.7% | 7.6% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 22.3% | 21.7% | 3.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.4% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.