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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.34vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.68+4.49vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.44vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.84+3.86vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79-1.15vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37-0.95vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93-0.85vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+0.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.92vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.68+0.34vs Predicted
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11American University-0.91+0.04vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-5.45vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.72-2.52vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.97-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of Pennsylvania1.7217.0%1st Place
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6.49Old Dominion University0.687.0%1st Place
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6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.5%1st Place
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7.86Christopher Newport University-0.844.3%1st Place
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3.85Cornell University1.7918.8%1st Place
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5.05Georgetown University1.3711.8%1st Place
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6.15George Washington University0.938.9%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University0.544.5%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Naval Academy0.525.7%1st Place
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10.34Washington College-0.682.1%1st Place
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11.04American University-0.911.4%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland0.617.8%1st Place
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10.48University of Virginia-0.721.9%1st Place
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11.34Princeton University-0.971.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 17.0% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Laura Smith | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 18.8% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Hartley Meyer | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 15.6% |
| Anika Liner | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 25.9% |
| Lily Flack | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.