Race 6B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kayla McComb 26.8% 18.9% 16.9% 13.9% 9.5% 6.8% 3.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 12.7% 13.9% 14.1% 13.2% 13.3% 11.6% 8.4% 6.8% 3.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 9.7% 12.5% 13.4% 13.4% 12.0% 11.2% 12.1% 8.2% 4.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Jennifer Borshoff 13.2% 13.3% 11.7% 13.1% 12.9% 12.0% 10.5% 7.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Madeleine Sims 3.8% 3.5% 3.5% 6.0% 5.8% 7.1% 9.3% 13.2% 17.4% 16.2% 10.4% 3.5% 0.3%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.2% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 4.8% 8.3% 7.7% 13.4% 18.4% 16.3% 11.6% 6.2% 0.2%
Rachel Austin 9.8% 9.3% 9.7% 9.4% 11.2% 11.6% 12.7% 11.8% 8.2% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Liana Folger 9.8% 10.0% 10.1% 10.3% 11.7% 12.9% 14.0% 10.6% 7.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Adrija Navarro 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 4.9% 9.7% 15.6% 25.3% 27.1% 3.4%
Siobhan Ryan 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.6% 2.3% 3.8% 6.9% 14.9% 22.1% 33.6% 7.7%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.7% 1.5% 0.9% 1.4% 2.3% 3.5% 3.5% 6.9% 11.4% 20.7% 22.5% 21.5% 3.2%
Hannah McNomee 9.8% 11.2% 12.9% 11.6% 12.5% 9.7% 12.3% 10.6% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicole Czegledy 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 4.0% 6.8% 85.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.