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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Torrey Chisari 16.2% 14.3% 13.2% 13.1% 10.2% 9.2% 9.0% 5.2% 4.3% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.3% 6.2% 6.3% 6.4% 8.6% 8.0% 8.5% 10.1% 10.9% 9.8% 7.8% 6.2% 3.6% 1.2%
Lily Flack 8.2% 7.8% 7.6% 8.8% 8.3% 8.9% 8.8% 10.1% 9.6% 8.0% 6.3% 4.5% 1.9% 1.2%
Megan Geith 6.4% 8.0% 7.8% 9.9% 7.3% 9.6% 8.1% 10.0% 8.0% 9.3% 7.0% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Sophia Devling 19.6% 18.2% 16.3% 13.2% 11.5% 7.4% 5.0% 4.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Starck 7.6% 7.2% 8.0% 7.7% 10.1% 9.6% 9.2% 10.2% 8.6% 7.8% 6.9% 4.5% 2.3% 0.2%
Riley Kloc 12.3% 11.3% 12.0% 11.9% 11.3% 9.9% 9.6% 7.6% 6.2% 4.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 8.6% 7.3% 9.6% 10.7% 10.9% 9.8% 7.0% 2.5%
Avery Canavan 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 9.6% 10.2% 9.7% 9.8% 9.6% 7.6% 6.6% 5.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Lydia Sweeney 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 4.0% 3.5% 5.0% 6.3% 7.6% 10.4% 14.2% 20.2% 17.9%
Laura Smith 5.1% 5.0% 5.6% 5.1% 6.5% 7.0% 8.8% 8.9% 9.8% 10.6% 9.9% 8.8% 5.8% 3.1%
Hartley Meyer 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 6.8% 8.2% 11.4% 15.1% 17.8% 16.6%
Anika Liner 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 4.1% 4.0% 5.0% 7.1% 10.2% 14.2% 18.9% 24.1%
Evelyn Walsh 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 4.6% 6.2% 9.3% 11.5% 18.4% 32.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.