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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+3.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.17vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+1.23vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67-0.11vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74-1.35vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.36+2.74vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.300.00vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.43-1.23vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.40-4.49vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.31-1.10vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.03-1.47vs Predicted
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13Queen's University-2.13-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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3.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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5.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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4.89George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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4.65Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.74William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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8.0Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.77Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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5.51Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.9Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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10.53Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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12.66Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 25.0% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 11.3% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 25.3% | 23.0% | 2.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Madeleine Sims | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 24.4% | 22.4% | 3.7% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 38.6% | 6.7% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 86.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.