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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.78vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.37+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.28vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.68+2.58vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.33vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+0.47vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93-0.80vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+0.05vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.84-1.02vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.68+0.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.95vs Predicted
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12American University-0.91-1.13vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.97-1.61vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.72-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Cornell University1.7920.4%1st Place
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5.06Georgetown University1.3712.2%1st Place
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4.28University of Pennsylvania1.7215.4%1st Place
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6.58Old Dominion University0.687.2%1st Place
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6.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.918.1%1st Place
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6.47St. Mary's College of Maryland0.617.7%1st Place
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6.2George Washington University0.937.9%1st Place
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8.05Fordham University0.543.9%1st Place
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7.98Christopher Newport University-0.844.4%1st Place
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10.43Washington College-0.681.4%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Naval Academy0.526.8%1st Place
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10.87American University-0.911.5%1st Place
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11.39Princeton University-0.971.5%1st Place
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10.52University of Virginia-0.721.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 20.4% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 15.4% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lily Flack | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Laura Smith | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 14.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Anika Liner | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 23.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 33.5% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.