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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.18vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+1.75vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+0.55vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.21vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67-1.18vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.43+0.64vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.03+2.36vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.30-0.93vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.40-4.50vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.36-1.23vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.31-1.94vs Predicted
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13Queen's University-2.13-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.3%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.75Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.55Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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4.82George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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10.36Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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8.07Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.5Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.77William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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10.06Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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12.66Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 25.2% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.1% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 34.9% | 5.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 24.4% | 20.8% | 3.2% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 23.0% | 27.9% | 4.0% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.