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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.73vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+4.06vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.54+4.90vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.37+1.04vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.84+2.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52+1.19vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68-0.43vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.68+2.45vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.46vs Predicted
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10American University-0.91+0.92vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-4.47vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.72-1.37vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.97-1.80vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Cornell University1.7920.9%1st Place
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6.06George Washington University0.938.7%1st Place
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7.9Fordham University0.544.6%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University1.3711.8%1st Place
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7.93Christopher Newport University-0.844.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy0.524.7%1st Place
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6.57Old Dominion University0.687.0%1st Place
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10.45Washington College-0.681.6%1st Place
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6.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.3%1st Place
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10.92American University-0.911.7%1st Place
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6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.618.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Virginia-0.721.7%1st Place
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11.2Princeton University-0.971.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Pennsylvania1.7217.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 20.9% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Megan Geith | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 16.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Anika Liner | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 25.7% |
| Lily Flack | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 29.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 17.1% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.