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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.17vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.49vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.30+5.10vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+0.76vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.40+0.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.67vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.86vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.43-0.30vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-4.08vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.03+0.43vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.31-1.12vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.36-2.02vs Predicted
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13Queen's University-2.13-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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4.49Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.1Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.76Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.45Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.33U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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4.92George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.43Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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9.88Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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9.98William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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12.66Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 24.5% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 34.2% | 7.2% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 22.9% | 23.1% | 3.6% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 17.7% | 25.5% | 24.8% | 4.1% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.