← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.16vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.85+2.47vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.40+2.56vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University1.30+2.90vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.74-1.32vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.67-2.18vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.80vs Predicted
-
9William and Mary0.36+0.85vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University0.31-0.06vs Predicted
-
11Washington College0.03-0.64vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.43-4.06vs Predicted
-
13Queen's University-2.13-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.3%1st Place
-
4.47Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
5.56Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
-
4.46U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
7.9Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
4.68Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
-
4.82George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
5.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
-
9.85William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
-
9.94Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
-
10.36Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
-
7.94Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
-
12.65Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 25.6% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 11.3% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 24.3% | 25.5% | 3.3% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 24.1% | 24.4% | 5.3% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 31.1% | 5.9% |
| Madeleine Sims | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.