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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+3.27vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.94vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.40+2.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.26vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.43+3.01vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.74vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.56+2.72vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74-3.41vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-4.19vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.30-1.69vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.03+0.10vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.31-1.49vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.36-2.71vs Predicted
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14Queen's University-2.13-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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5.35Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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5.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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9.72Christopher Newport University0.560.0%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.81George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.31Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.1Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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10.51Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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10.29William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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13.58Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.2% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 11.9% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 14.9% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 11.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 11.3% | 2.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 30.0% | 7.2% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 3.6% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 3.1% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 82.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.