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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.10vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.40+1.44vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74-0.30vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85-1.62vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.67-2.48vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.30+0.16vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.43-1.01vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.56+0.06vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.31-0.48vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.03-0.95vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.36-2.68vs Predicted
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14Queen's University-2.13-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22U. S. Naval Academy2.880.2%1st Place
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4.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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5.44Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.7Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.38Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.52George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.16Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.99Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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10.06Christopher Newport University0.560.0%1st Place
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10.52Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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11.05Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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10.32William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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13.57Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 16.7% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 10.8% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Madeleine Sims | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 22.0% | 20.8% | 3.7% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 31.0% | 6.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 3.0% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 83.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.