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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.64vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.27vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+2.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.52+1.86vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.13vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.57vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.37-3.08vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.68-2.52vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.54-2.22vs Predicted
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11American University-0.91-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.72-2.00vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.97-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Cornell University1.7921.7%1st Place
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6.0George Washington University0.938.6%1st Place
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4.27University of Pennsylvania1.7215.7%1st Place
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6.26St. Mary's College of Maryland0.618.3%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Naval Academy0.525.8%1st Place
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6.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.7%1st Place
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7.57Christopher Newport University-0.844.5%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University1.3712.4%1st Place
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6.48Old Dominion University0.686.2%1st Place
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7.78Fordham University0.543.7%1st Place
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10.38American University-0.911.8%1st Place
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10.0University of Virginia-0.721.9%1st Place
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10.7Princeton University-0.971.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 21.7% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lily Flack | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Laura Smith | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Anika Liner | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 29.6% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 22.6% | 21.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 22.1% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.