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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.22vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.40+3.23vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+1.28vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+1.12vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74-0.31vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.73vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.43+0.68vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.30+0.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-4.20vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.56+0.01vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.03+0.09vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.31-1.47vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.36-2.68vs Predicted
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14Queen's University-2.13-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22U. S. Naval Academy2.880.2%1st Place
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5.23Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.28Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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5.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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4.69Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.68Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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8.17Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.8George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.01Christopher Newport University0.560.0%1st Place
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11.09Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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10.53Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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10.32William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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13.58Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 15.7% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 2.9% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 30.1% | 6.9% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 22.0% | 3.7% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 18.8% | 2.9% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.