Race 1A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jessie Olson 21.1% 27.7% 20.7% 14.6% 7.9% 5.0% 1.7% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Connor Trepton 48.1% 29.4% 14.4% 5.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Schneider 7.4% 10.4% 14.5% 16.3% 18.0% 14.5% 8.7% 7.4% 2.5% 0.3%
David Gates 1.8% 3.9% 6.7% 9.2% 12.6% 12.4% 16.3% 14.5% 14.7% 7.9%
Peter Lewis 4.0% 5.1% 8.7% 9.4% 13.4% 14.3% 16.8% 13.6% 9.8% 4.9%
David Johnston 11.2% 15.3% 18.1% 21.0% 13.7% 10.4% 6.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Peter Roehmholdt 2.1% 1.7% 4.4% 6.8% 8.3% 14.7% 14.0% 16.5% 17.1% 14.4%
David Mirkhaef 2.1% 3.3% 5.8% 8.0% 11.6% 11.7% 13.7% 17.2% 15.8% 10.8%
Chester Wood 1.4% 1.6% 3.8% 5.2% 6.7% 9.5% 12.3% 14.2% 21.5% 23.8%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 0.8% 1.6% 2.9% 3.9% 5.8% 7.1% 10.3% 12.3% 17.7% 37.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.