Race 2A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
David Johnston 12.7% 14.7% 18.5% 17.7% 13.7% 11.5% 7.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
Connor Trepton 49.0% 29.3% 12.8% 5.7% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessie Olson 20.3% 24.3% 22.2% 17.1% 9.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
John Schneider 6.3% 10.8% 14.2% 16.8% 17.1% 15.9% 9.4% 6.0% 2.4% 1.1%
Peter Roehmholdt 2.9% 3.4% 5.8% 6.2% 9.1% 10.0% 14.8% 17.8% 17.2% 12.8%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 0.8% 1.8% 3.9% 4.1% 4.7% 6.1% 10.4% 12.3% 18.5% 37.4%
Peter Lewis 2.7% 4.7% 8.0% 10.8% 13.2% 16.2% 16.0% 14.3% 9.8% 4.3%
David Mirkhaef 1.7% 4.5% 5.0% 8.0% 11.2% 11.7% 13.7% 17.3% 15.5% 11.4%
Chester Wood 1.3% 2.2% 3.3% 4.8% 6.4% 10.7% 11.5% 14.7% 21.0% 24.1%
David Gates 2.3% 4.3% 6.3% 8.8% 12.1% 13.3% 15.2% 14.7% 14.5% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.