← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University1.37+3.82vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University0.93+3.82vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.12vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University0.68+2.32vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.25vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+0.51vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.79-3.26vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University0.54-0.29vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.20vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.38vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia-0.72-0.99vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-0.97-1.25vs Predicted
-
13American University-0.91-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82Georgetown University1.3712.7%1st Place
-
5.82George Washington University0.938.7%1st Place
-
4.12University of Pennsylvania1.7217.6%1st Place
-
6.32Old Dominion University0.687.5%1st Place
-
6.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.9%1st Place
-
6.51St. Mary's College of Maryland0.616.7%1st Place
-
3.74Cornell University1.7920.0%1st Place
-
7.71Fordham University0.544.3%1st Place
-
6.8U. S. Naval Academy0.526.3%1st Place
-
7.62Christopher Newport University-0.844.3%1st Place
-
10.01University of Virginia-0.721.9%1st Place
-
10.75Princeton University-0.971.2%1st Place
-
10.52American University-0.910.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 17.6% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Lily Flack | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 20.0% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Laura Smith | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 22.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 35.1% |
| Anika Liner | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 23.4% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.