Race 3A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jessie Olson 21.0% 27.7% 19.8% 14.9% 8.6% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Trepton 50.3% 27.0% 14.7% 5.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Gates 2.7% 3.8% 7.2% 8.1% 9.1% 15.3% 14.6% 16.6% 13.9% 8.7%
David Johnston 8.2% 15.7% 20.8% 19.7% 17.2% 8.5% 6.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Peter Lewis 4.3% 5.7% 7.6% 10.2% 12.0% 17.3% 15.5% 12.4% 10.3% 4.7%
John Schneider 7.7% 10.0% 13.6% 19.7% 16.5% 13.2% 11.8% 4.3% 2.5% 0.7%
Chester Wood 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 4.5% 7.2% 9.1% 12.9% 16.7% 19.6% 24.3%
David Mirkhaef 2.1% 3.2% 7.1% 7.0% 11.7% 11.1% 14.9% 17.4% 15.2% 10.3%
Peter Roehmholdt 1.8% 3.2% 4.1% 7.0% 9.5% 13.4% 12.1% 16.2% 18.5% 14.2%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 0.7% 2.1% 2.2% 3.8% 5.9% 7.3% 9.2% 13.1% 18.7% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.