← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.73+5.41vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.78+5.78vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.59vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.22+3.66vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.18-0.40vs Predicted
-
6Boston College1.97+2.57vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University0.97+7.51vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.38+0.39vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.36vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.34-2.68vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.73-5.70vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.59+0.18vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.68-6.47vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.20-2.57vs Predicted
-
15Fairfield University0.42-1.42vs Predicted
-
16Boston University0.97-5.09vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.06-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.41Brown University2.739.0%1st Place
-
7.78University of Rhode Island2.788.0%1st Place
-
8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.6%1st Place
-
7.66Tufts University2.225.5%1st Place
-
4.6Harvard University3.1815.3%1st Place
-
8.57Boston College1.975.2%1st Place
-
14.51Salve Regina University0.970.7%1st Place
-
8.39Bowdoin College2.384.8%1st Place
-
7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.8%1st Place
-
7.32Dartmouth College2.347.1%1st Place
-
5.3Yale University2.7312.4%1st Place
-
12.18Northeastern University1.591.5%1st Place
-
6.53Roger Williams University2.6810.0%1st Place
-
11.43Connecticut College1.201.9%1st Place
-
13.58Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
-
10.91Boston University0.972.8%1st Place
-
11.6University of Vermont1.062.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 41.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Chase Decker | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 10.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 23.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.