Race 4A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Trepton 50.0% 27.1% 12.7% 6.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Mirkhaef 2.9% 3.8% 5.8% 6.5% 8.1% 13.2% 15.4% 16.4% 16.8% 11.1%
David Johnston 10.3% 15.0% 19.2% 17.5% 16.9% 11.0% 6.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Jessie Olson 18.7% 26.8% 24.7% 15.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
John Schneider 7.7% 12.0% 11.8% 18.6% 18.3% 13.3% 9.5% 5.6% 2.6% 0.6%
Chester Wood 2.0% 2.9% 4.0% 3.9% 7.3% 9.9% 9.8% 15.8% 20.0% 24.4%
David Gates 2.3% 3.3% 6.0% 8.6% 11.8% 14.5% 17.3% 14.5% 14.0% 7.7%
Peter Lewis 3.3% 4.8% 8.8% 11.8% 13.2% 12.8% 17.2% 13.5% 9.3% 5.3%
Peter Roehmholdt 1.9% 2.9% 4.6% 6.3% 9.5% 12.4% 13.1% 17.9% 18.4% 13.0%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 0.9% 1.4% 2.4% 4.5% 4.5% 7.5% 10.2% 12.9% 17.8% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.