Race 5A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Trepton 43.6% 27.6% 14.9% 8.2% 3.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Johnston 9.5% 11.1% 14.8% 21.8% 17.0% 14.5% 6.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Mike Flanigan 19.0% 22.2% 22.5% 18.2% 11.7% 4.1% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessie Olson 15.9% 22.4% 23.4% 19.7% 10.4% 4.4% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Lewis 3.5% 5.6% 7.3% 7.3% 11.6% 16.1% 18.4% 15.9% 9.5% 4.8%
David Gates 3.2% 4.0% 4.3% 6.4% 11.6% 15.4% 15.6% 17.0% 13.1% 9.4%
David Mirkhaef 1.7% 1.7% 4.2% 6.2% 11.9% 12.4% 18.6% 16.9% 15.3% 11.1%
Chester Wood 1.1% 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 8.1% 10.2% 12.4% 14.4% 21.6% 23.9%
Peter Roehmholdt 1.7% 2.1% 4.3% 4.3% 9.4% 13.3% 14.2% 18.4% 19.0% 13.3%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 4.1% 4.9% 7.6% 8.6% 13.2% 20.3% 37.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.