Race 6A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mike Flanigan 20.4% 22.9% 23.6% 16.3% 9.3% 4.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Connor Trepton 42.4% 29.5% 15.7% 8.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Johnston 9.7% 10.8% 14.1% 20.6% 19.7% 13.5% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
David Mirkhaef 1.4% 2.7% 4.5% 6.4% 9.7% 13.6% 18.9% 15.3% 16.1% 11.4%
Peter Roehmholdt 2.3% 2.9% 4.7% 6.4% 8.0% 10.1% 15.5% 18.3% 18.0% 13.8%
Jessie Olson 17.2% 22.7% 21.5% 17.9% 11.9% 5.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Lewis 2.6% 2.6% 6.2% 9.2% 14.8% 19.2% 15.9% 14.5% 10.5% 4.5%
David Gates 2.3% 3.1% 5.1% 7.6% 11.7% 13.9% 16.6% 16.5% 14.3% 8.9%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 9.6% 15.6% 19.8% 35.5%
Chester Wood 1.0% 1.3% 2.9% 4.8% 5.7% 11.9% 11.8% 14.8% 20.2% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.