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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.15+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04-0.15vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.50+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.12+0.63vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.02+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.73+2.00vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.17-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.41-2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.11-2.01vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College-0.44-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Minnesota2.150.2%1st Place
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1.85University of Wisconsin3.040.5%1st Place
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3.96Marquette University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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6.64Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Minnesota-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.47Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Wisconsin0.410.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.61Lake Forest College-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessie Olson | 21.2% | 26.6% | 21.3% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 49.6% | 27.8% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Johnston | 10.8% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 5.9% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| David Mirkhaef | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 10.4% |
| Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 36.3% |
| David Gates | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
| Peter Lewis | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 13.8% |
| Chester Wood | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.