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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.71+2.09vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College1.04+0.57vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.44+1.41vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.85-1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.01-2.32vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.43-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Washington University0.7119.1%1st Place
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2.57Hillsdale College1.0427.2%1st Place
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4.41Michigan State University-0.445.7%1st Place
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2.88Purdue University0.8520.9%1st Place
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2.68University of Chicago1.0125.1%1st Place
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5.37Marquette University-1.431.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Robinson | 19.1% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 4.2% |
| Arden Carleton | 27.2% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Dodge | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 38.9% | 21.9% |
| Lukas Diehm | 20.9% | 21.8% | 22.3% | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.1% |
| Max Zhalilo | 25.1% | 23.2% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 9.4% | 1.9% |
| John Riordan | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 16.2% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.