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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.71+2.08vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College1.04+0.56vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.85-0.13vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.44+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.01-2.32vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.43-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Washington University0.7118.4%1st Place
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2.56Hillsdale College1.0428.5%1st Place
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2.87Purdue University0.8520.9%1st Place
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4.39Michigan State University-0.446.0%1st Place
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2.68University of Chicago1.0124.6%1st Place
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5.43Marquette University-1.431.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Robinson | 18.4% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 23.5% | 14.4% | 3.5% |
| Arden Carleton | 28.5% | 24.6% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 1.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 20.9% | 21.9% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 11.8% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 39.4% | 21.5% |
| Max Zhalilo | 24.6% | 25.0% | 21.5% | 17.6% | 9.8% | 1.5% |
| John Riordan | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 15.8% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.