Race 8A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Trepton 51.4% 26.4% 11.3% 6.9% 2.6% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessie Olson 20.1% 27.3% 22.1% 14.4% 9.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
John Schneider 6.7% 10.6% 14.3% 16.2% 16.4% 16.0% 10.7% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Peter Lewis 2.3% 5.2% 8.1% 12.0% 13.1% 14.3% 16.6% 14.1% 9.1% 5.2%
David Johnston 10.2% 17.4% 18.5% 20.4% 15.2% 8.6% 5.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Peter Roehmholdt 2.8% 3.1% 5.2% 6.5% 8.9% 11.5% 13.0% 16.8% 17.1% 15.1%
David Mirkhaef 1.9% 2.3% 5.6% 7.1% 11.2% 13.5% 17.3% 15.2% 14.9% 11.0%
Chester Wood 1.5% 1.9% 3.9% 5.8% 6.3% 9.1% 11.2% 15.8% 20.9% 23.6%
David Gates 2.1% 4.6% 7.7% 7.4% 11.6% 13.4% 14.4% 17.1% 14.0% 7.7%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 1.0% 1.2% 3.3% 3.3% 5.5% 7.9% 9.4% 11.6% 20.3% 36.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.