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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.71+2.06vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College1.04+0.62vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.85-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago1.01-1.33vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.44-0.60vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.43-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Washington University0.7118.9%1st Place
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2.62Hillsdale College1.0426.0%1st Place
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2.87Purdue University0.8522.1%1st Place
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2.67University of Chicago1.0125.4%1st Place
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4.4Michigan State University-0.445.2%1st Place
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5.37Marquette University-1.432.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Robinson | 18.9% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 3.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 26.0% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 1.2% |
| Lukas Diehm | 22.1% | 21.5% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 12.6% | 2.7% |
| Max Zhalilo | 25.4% | 24.6% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Dodge | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 38.4% | 22.1% |
| John Riordan | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.