Race 9A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jessie Olson 19.6% 22.3% 18.5% 17.0% 12.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Trepton 43.5% 27.7% 17.2% 8.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 19.0% 21.1% 23.4% 19.0% 10.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
David Mirkhaef 1.5% 2.7% 4.9% 5.4% 9.9% 13.7% 17.0% 18.6% 16.0% 10.3%
Peter Lewis 3.4% 5.2% 6.5% 9.5% 12.0% 14.7% 18.7% 15.0% 9.6% 5.4%
Chester Wood 1.0% 2.5% 3.6% 3.3% 7.4% 9.3% 12.3% 14.1% 20.9% 25.6%
David Johnston 7.5% 12.4% 15.0% 22.0% 18.5% 13.5% 6.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 0.7% 0.8% 2.3% 3.5% 6.3% 8.1% 10.3% 12.8% 18.2% 37.0%
Peter Roehmholdt 1.7% 2.2% 4.0% 5.0% 7.7% 15.0% 14.0% 17.0% 20.7% 12.7%
David Gates 2.1% 3.1% 4.6% 7.2% 12.8% 13.8% 16.7% 17.8% 13.1% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.