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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago1.01+1.64vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College1.04+0.61vs Predicted
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3Washington University0.71+0.13vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.85-1.10vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.44-0.64vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.43-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Chicago1.0125.8%1st Place
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2.61Hillsdale College1.0427.4%1st Place
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3.13Washington University0.7117.5%1st Place
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2.9Purdue University0.8520.6%1st Place
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4.36Michigan State University-0.446.9%1st Place
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5.37Marquette University-1.431.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Zhalilo | 25.8% | 24.6% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Arden Carleton | 27.4% | 23.5% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Robinson | 17.5% | 18.9% | 20.6% | 23.1% | 15.8% | 4.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 20.6% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 37.7% | 22.1% |
| John Riordan | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 16.8% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.