Race 10A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mike Flanigan 22.4% 21.5% 20.6% 17.1% 11.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Jessie Olson 17.6% 20.9% 20.7% 19.6% 12.8% 5.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Trepton 40.7% 29.1% 18.7% 8.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Lewis 2.6% 3.8% 4.8% 9.8% 13.7% 17.4% 18.1% 15.1% 9.5% 5.2%
Chester Wood 1.6% 2.2% 3.0% 4.7% 7.3% 9.0% 11.5% 15.6% 21.8% 23.3%
David Mirkhaef 2.3% 3.3% 5.0% 6.2% 8.9% 13.9% 16.0% 18.6% 15.6% 10.2%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 3.2% 5.0% 7.4% 10.0% 14.3% 21.9% 35.1%
David Johnston 7.8% 13.4% 16.4% 19.9% 17.1% 13.4% 7.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2%
David Gates 2.6% 2.6% 5.0% 7.0% 12.7% 14.3% 17.2% 15.8% 14.0% 8.8%
Peter Roehmholdt 1.6% 2.2% 4.5% 4.5% 8.9% 14.1% 15.1% 16.6% 15.4% 17.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.