Race 11A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Trepton 43.3% 27.4% 16.6% 7.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 18.4% 24.3% 22.3% 17.8% 9.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
David Johnston 9.5% 10.7% 14.7% 20.3% 19.4% 13.8% 7.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Jessie Olson 16.0% 21.9% 24.0% 19.5% 10.0% 6.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Roehmholdt 2.3% 3.1% 3.0% 6.1% 9.5% 11.6% 13.6% 18.4% 18.3% 14.1%
Peter Lewis 4.2% 4.2% 6.0% 8.7% 13.7% 16.7% 17.8% 13.6% 10.4% 4.7%
Chester Wood 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 4.0% 7.1% 9.0% 13.7% 16.5% 20.5% 24.8%
David Gates 2.3% 3.4% 5.2% 6.8% 12.7% 14.2% 17.5% 16.7% 13.4% 7.8%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 3.5% 4.6% 7.6% 9.9% 14.4% 19.1% 37.1%
David Mirkhaef 1.6% 2.9% 4.5% 5.9% 9.8% 14.8% 14.9% 17.3% 17.0% 11.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.