← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hillsdale College1.04+1.58vs Predicted
-
2Washington University0.71+1.16vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University0.85-0.11vs Predicted
-
4University of Chicago1.01-1.37vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University-0.44-0.65vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-1.43-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.58Hillsdale College1.0427.8%1st Place
-
3.16Washington University0.7116.0%1st Place
-
2.89Purdue University0.8521.9%1st Place
-
2.63University of Chicago1.0126.6%1st Place
-
4.35Michigan State University-0.446.0%1st Place
-
5.39Marquette University-1.431.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 27.8% | 23.4% | 22.5% | 16.6% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Robinson | 16.0% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 24.2% | 15.7% | 3.9% |
| Lukas Diehm | 21.9% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 12.2% | 2.7% |
| Max Zhalilo | 26.6% | 23.8% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 37.8% | 22.1% |
| John Riordan | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 16.6% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.