Race 12A

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Lewis 3.9% 4.6% 4.8% 11.6% 13.4% 14.3% 17.4% 14.6% 10.2% 5.2%
Connor Trepton 43.0% 27.0% 18.0% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessie Olson 16.6% 22.1% 22.4% 16.3% 14.6% 5.2% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 18.5% 25.2% 20.6% 18.3% 10.2% 5.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
David Johnston 9.6% 11.4% 15.6% 22.1% 16.1% 12.8% 7.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3%
David Gates 3.1% 3.4% 5.6% 5.4% 11.3% 16.3% 16.0% 16.7% 13.8% 8.4%
David Mirkhaef 1.7% 1.7% 4.0% 5.7% 10.2% 15.8% 17.0% 17.1% 15.4% 11.4%
Peter Roehmholdt 1.6% 2.0% 4.3% 5.3% 9.6% 12.9% 14.4% 19.2% 15.5% 15.2%
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.8% 5.1% 7.1% 11.1% 13.3% 22.2% 34.3%
Chester Wood 1.0% 1.5% 2.7% 4.7% 6.5% 9.7% 12.4% 15.1% 21.2% 25.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.