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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.92+0.81vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-0.70+1.63vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.60+0.68vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.80-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.66-1.41vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.39-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Purdue University0.9250.2%1st Place
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3.63Hillsdale College-0.7010.5%1st Place
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3.68Michigan State University-0.6011.2%1st Place
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3.77Washington University-0.8010.3%1st Place
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3.59University of Chicago-0.6611.3%1st Place
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4.52Marquette University-1.396.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 50.2% | 27.7% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 10.5% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 14.5% |
| Brynna Smith | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 14.3% |
| Jacob Hsia | 10.3% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| Natalie Manley | 11.3% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 14.2% |
| Caroline Bielski | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.