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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.92+0.83vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-0.70+1.66vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.39+1.49vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.80-0.23vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.60-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.66-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Purdue University0.9248.7%1st Place
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3.66Hillsdale College-0.7012.7%1st Place
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4.49Marquette University-1.396.6%1st Place
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3.77Washington University-0.809.2%1st Place
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3.6Michigan State University-0.6011.8%1st Place
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3.64University of Chicago-0.6611.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 48.7% | 28.9% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 12.7% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 15.5% |
| Caroline Bielski | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 21.0% | 38.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.2% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 11.8% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 14.1% |
| Natalie Manley | 11.1% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 20.5% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.