Race 1B

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Aaron Martinson 10.1% 12.2% 12.4% 12.0% 15.9% 13.2% 12.7% 8.2% 3.3%
Ian Norman 29.8% 26.6% 17.1% 12.9% 6.3% 3.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.3%
Coral Rodriguez 17.1% 17.1% 16.8% 14.4% 13.1% 10.6% 6.8% 3.4% 0.7%
Rebecca Jegier 3.9% 4.2% 6.9% 7.7% 9.2% 11.7% 14.5% 20.1% 21.8%
Laura Woldt 6.0% 7.5% 9.8% 9.1% 11.7% 11.4% 15.0% 16.8% 12.7%
Anne Schoenwetter 11.7% 11.9% 12.3% 15.4% 14.5% 14.1% 10.3% 7.2% 2.6%
Joe Lund 12.7% 12.0% 14.3% 16.4% 13.6% 14.1% 9.0% 5.5% 2.4%
Michael Small 2.1% 3.7% 3.6% 4.1% 4.5% 8.3% 10.9% 20.1% 42.7%
Christopher Charleson 6.6% 4.8% 6.8% 8.0% 11.2% 12.8% 18.1% 18.2% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.