← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.67vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.08vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.58+4.67vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.18+0.68vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.20+6.61vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.22+1.65vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.68-0.35vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.06-0.19vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.73-3.64vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.34-2.54vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.59+1.12vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.73-5.60vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.99vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.06-2.28vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.97-3.91vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University0.42-2.51vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University0.97-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.3%1st Place
-
8.08University of Rhode Island2.785.2%1st Place
-
7.67Boston College2.586.2%1st Place
-
4.68Harvard University3.1815.8%1st Place
-
11.61Connecticut College1.202.2%1st Place
-
7.65Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
-
6.65Roger Williams University2.689.2%1st Place
-
7.81Bowdoin College2.066.5%1st Place
-
5.36Yale University2.7312.4%1st Place
-
7.46Dartmouth College2.347.0%1st Place
-
12.12Northeastern University1.592.1%1st Place
-
6.4Brown University2.739.6%1st Place
-
9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.1%1st Place
-
11.72University of Vermont1.061.8%1st Place
-
11.09Boston University0.972.9%1st Place
-
13.49Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
-
14.55Salve Regina University0.971.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Peter Busch | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 10.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 7.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 23.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 18.8% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.