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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.11+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.92+3.52vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.05+0.53vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.57+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.53-2.39vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.20-2.70vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.65-2.06vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.42-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
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2.68University of Wisconsin1.200.3%1st Place
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6.52University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.53University of Minnesota0.050.1%1st Place
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5.69Lake Forest College-0.570.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Wisconsin0.530.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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5.94Purdue University-0.650.1%1st Place
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7.27Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Schoenwetter | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Ian Norman | 29.8% | 25.5% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 24.6% | 21.3% |
| Aaron Martinson | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Laura Woldt | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.7% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 17.8% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Joe Lund | 11.9% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Charleson | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 13.8% |
| Michael Small | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.