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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.80+2.74vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.92-0.19vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.39+1.57vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College-0.70-0.38vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.60-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.66-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Washington University-0.8010.2%1st Place
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1.81Purdue University0.9250.3%1st Place
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4.57Marquette University-1.395.0%1st Place
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3.62Hillsdale College-0.7011.8%1st Place
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3.63Michigan State University-0.6011.7%1st Place
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3.62University of Chicago-0.6611.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hsia | 10.2% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 20.3% | 16.6% |
| Odey Hariri | 50.3% | 28.0% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bielski | 5.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 40.8% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 11.8% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 14.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 11.7% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 14.3% |
| Natalie Manley | 11.1% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.