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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.92+4.58vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.05+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.53-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.11-0.69vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.42+1.21vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.65-1.11vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.20-3.80vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-0.83-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Wisconsin1.200.3%1st Place
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6.58University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Minnesota0.050.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Wisconsin0.530.2%1st Place
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4.31University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
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7.21Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.89Purdue University-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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6.21Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Norman | 32.4% | 26.9% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 22.4% |
| Aaron Martinson | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 17.1% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Michael Small | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 37.6% |
| Christopher Charleson | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 12.4% |
| Joe Lund | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Charles Koules | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.