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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.80+2.80vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.92-0.17vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.39+1.56vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.60-0.37vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-0.70-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.66-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Washington University-0.809.0%1st Place
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1.83Purdue University0.9249.6%1st Place
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4.56Marquette University-1.396.5%1st Place
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3.63Michigan State University-0.6011.7%1st Place
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3.64Hillsdale College-0.7010.9%1st Place
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3.54University of Chicago-0.6612.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hsia | 9.0% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 21.6% | 16.9% |
| Odey Hariri | 49.6% | 27.2% | 15.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bielski | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 40.5% |
| Brynna Smith | 11.7% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 19.4% | 14.4% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 10.9% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 14.6% |
| Natalie Manley | 12.4% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.