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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.92+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.66+1.63vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.56+0.26vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.39+0.64vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-0.70-1.25vs Predicted
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6Washington University-0.80-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Purdue University0.9247.9%1st Place
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3.63University of Chicago-0.6612.0%1st Place
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3.26Michigan State University-0.5615.1%1st Place
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4.64Marquette University-1.395.2%1st Place
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3.75Hillsdale College-0.7010.1%1st Place
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3.85Washington University-0.809.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 47.9% | 28.7% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Manley | 12.0% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 15.3% |
| Eva Rossell | 15.1% | 20.1% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 8.6% |
| Caroline Bielski | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 41.5% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 10.1% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 16.3% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.7% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.