Race 4B

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ian Norman 34.5% 23.3% 16.9% 14.0% 6.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Coral Rodriguez 13.9% 18.3% 18.7% 14.5% 12.8% 9.2% 7.9% 3.5% 1.2%
Aaron Martinson 10.0% 12.6% 12.2% 13.5% 13.8% 15.7% 11.5% 9.1% 1.6%
Joe Lund 12.3% 15.5% 14.1% 15.1% 15.2% 12.2% 8.5% 5.1% 2.0%
Christopher Charleson 5.5% 7.0% 8.7% 10.1% 10.9% 12.0% 15.9% 15.7% 14.2%
Michael Small 2.8% 2.2% 3.6% 4.7% 6.1% 7.8% 12.8% 21.6% 38.4%
Anne Schoenwetter 11.3% 11.5% 14.4% 13.9% 16.5% 14.5% 8.6% 6.6% 2.7%
Charles Koules 5.4% 4.8% 5.9% 7.4% 9.9% 13.1% 17.0% 18.3% 18.2%
Rebecca Jegier 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 6.8% 8.8% 11.8% 16.3% 20.0% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.