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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.92+0.85vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-0.70+1.69vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.39+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.66-0.36vs Predicted
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5Washington University-0.80-1.14vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.56-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Purdue University0.9249.0%1st Place
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3.69Hillsdale College-0.7011.1%1st Place
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4.59Marquette University-1.395.3%1st Place
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3.64University of Chicago-0.6611.8%1st Place
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3.86Washington University-0.809.4%1st Place
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3.37Michigan State University-0.5613.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 49.0% | 27.7% | 15.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 11.1% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 15.0% |
| Caroline Bielski | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 40.8% |
| Natalie Manley | 11.8% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.4% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 22.7% | 17.6% |
| Eva Rossell | 13.4% | 19.1% | 21.5% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.