Race 5B

pere-marquette-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ian Norman 33.2% 24.9% 18.5% 10.3% 6.7% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Laura Woldt 3.6% 5.8% 7.3% 10.1% 11.3% 14.2% 16.8% 18.0% 12.9%
Aaron Martinson 9.2% 11.5% 12.4% 14.9% 15.3% 13.1% 11.5% 8.7% 3.4%
Michael Small 2.4% 3.1% 3.2% 5.8% 6.6% 6.8% 13.9% 18.6% 39.6%
Anne Schoenwetter 12.2% 14.5% 14.1% 12.8% 12.4% 13.2% 10.5% 7.1% 3.2%
Coral Rodriguez 16.6% 17.5% 19.1% 15.4% 12.0% 9.9% 5.2% 3.0% 1.3%
Christopher Charleson 5.7% 4.7% 7.0% 9.5% 10.3% 12.7% 17.9% 19.8% 12.4%
Rebecca Jegier 4.5% 4.7% 4.6% 6.3% 10.6% 12.2% 13.2% 19.4% 24.5%
Joe Lund 12.6% 13.3% 13.8% 14.9% 14.8% 13.4% 9.5% 5.1% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.