← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University0.92+0.86vs Predicted
-
2University of Chicago-0.66+1.70vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-1.39+1.60vs Predicted
-
4Washington University-0.80-0.17vs Predicted
-
5Hillsdale College-0.70-1.27vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-0.56-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.86Purdue University0.9248.9%1st Place
-
3.7University of Chicago-0.6610.7%1st Place
-
4.6Marquette University-1.395.1%1st Place
-
3.83Washington University-0.809.4%1st Place
-
3.73Hillsdale College-0.7010.8%1st Place
-
3.29Michigan State University-0.5615.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 48.9% | 28.0% | 14.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Manley | 10.7% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 15.2% |
| Caroline Bielski | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 41.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.4% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 19.1% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 10.8% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 15.8% |
| Eva Rossell | 15.0% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.