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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+1.54vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.57+3.98vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.11+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.53-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.05-0.52vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.42+1.25vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.65-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.92-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota0.20-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Wisconsin1.200.3%1st Place
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5.98Lake Forest College-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Wisconsin0.530.2%1st Place
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4.48University of Minnesota0.050.1%1st Place
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7.25Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.99Purdue University-0.650.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.25University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Norman | 33.2% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Woldt | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 13.9% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 17.1% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Aaron Martinson | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Michael Small | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 19.9% | 41.1% |
| Christopher Charleson | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 13.3% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 20.7% | 22.7% |
| Joe Lund | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.