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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ian Norman 32.5% 26.2% 16.1% 12.4% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Aaron Martinson 8.0% 10.1% 13.0% 15.1% 15.9% 12.2% 12.8% 8.8% 4.1%
Anne Schoenwetter 10.8% 12.6% 12.4% 14.2% 14.1% 14.2% 11.3% 7.8% 2.6%
Coral Rodriguez 17.5% 19.0% 18.5% 14.7% 12.1% 9.6% 5.3% 2.4% 0.9%
Michael Small 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 5.8% 7.2% 8.6% 10.2% 16.4% 42.3%
Laura Woldt 5.8% 5.6% 8.9% 9.5% 10.9% 13.9% 16.8% 17.1% 11.5%
Christopher Charleson 5.6% 5.3% 7.1% 8.3% 9.9% 14.3% 17.3% 19.7% 12.5%
Joe Lund 12.8% 13.5% 15.6% 12.6% 13.8% 12.3% 10.3% 5.8% 3.3%
Rebecca Jegier 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 7.4% 9.1% 11.1% 14.5% 21.5% 22.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.