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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.05+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.11+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.53-0.48vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.42+2.14vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.57-0.22vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.65-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.20-3.72vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.92-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Wisconsin1.200.3%1st Place
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4.77University of Minnesota0.050.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Wisconsin0.530.2%1st Place
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7.14Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.78Lake Forest College-0.570.1%1st Place
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5.97Purdue University-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Norman | 32.5% | 26.2% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Martinson | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 17.5% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Michael Small | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 42.3% |
| Laura Woldt | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 11.5% |
| Christopher Charleson | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 12.5% |
| Joe Lund | 12.8% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.