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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+1.52vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.57+3.99vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.05+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.11+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.53-1.44vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.65-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.20-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.92-1.56vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.42-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Wisconsin1.200.3%1st Place
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5.99Lake Forest College-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Minnesota0.050.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Wisconsin0.530.2%1st Place
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5.92Purdue University-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.29Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Norman | 32.8% | 25.3% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Woldt | 4.2% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 13.8% |
| Aaron Martinson | 8.7% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 19.1% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Charleson | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 13.3% |
| Joe Lund | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 22.0% |
| Michael Small | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.