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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+4.36vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.04+6.68vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+1.75vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22+2.89vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.10-1.88vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+5.06vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.02+2.02vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.23+0.47vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.38vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+3.33vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+1.78vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-1.42-0.83vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.18-7.16vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.36-6.86vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-2.19-0.78vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.78-12.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36North Carolina State University1.2610.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Maryland0.042.7%1st Place
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4.75North Carolina State University1.5313.8%1st Place
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6.89The Citadel1.225.5%1st Place
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3.12Jacksonville University2.1024.9%1st Place
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11.06Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.2%1st Place
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9.02University of Virginia0.023.0%1st Place
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8.47Clemson University0.233.2%1st Place
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10.38Embry-Riddle University-0.521.5%1st Place
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13.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.5%1st Place
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12.78University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.430.2%1st Place
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11.17William and Mary-1.421.4%1st Place
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5.84University of South Carolina1.188.2%1st Place
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7.14University of South Florida0.365.4%1st Place
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14.22University of North Carolina-2.190.4%1st Place
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3.81North Carolina State University1.7817.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McCollum | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 24.9% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Connor Lothrop | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 24.6% | 24.9% |
| John TIS | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 17.8% |
| Audrey Craig | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| David Manley | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 45.6% |
| Adam Larson | 17.9% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.