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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.92+5.51vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.53+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.20+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.05-0.55vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.57-0.21vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.65-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.11-3.56vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.42-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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2.7University of Wisconsin1.200.3%1st Place
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3.67University of Wisconsin0.530.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Minnesota0.050.1%1st Place
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5.79Lake Forest College-0.570.1%1st Place
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5.98Purdue University-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
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7.27Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Jegier | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 23.2% |
| Ian Norman | 28.9% | 27.6% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 17.0% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Joe Lund | 12.7% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Aaron Martinson | 10.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Laura Woldt | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 11.2% |
| Christopher Charleson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 13.8% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Michael Small | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.