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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+2.87vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+4.92vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+0.12vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.18+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.04+2.76vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26-1.61vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+3.04vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.36-1.96vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.02-1.93vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+0.82vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.23-4.56vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-1.42-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-2.19-0.82vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87North Carolina State University1.7817.5%1st Place
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6.92The Citadel1.226.0%1st Place
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3.12Jacksonville University2.1027.1%1st Place
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4.78North Carolina State University1.5310.4%1st Place
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5.66University of South Carolina1.189.3%1st Place
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8.76University of Maryland0.043.0%1st Place
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5.39North Carolina State University1.268.9%1st Place
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11.04Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.4%1st Place
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7.04University of South Florida0.365.9%1st Place
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10.38Embry-Riddle University-0.521.5%1st Place
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9.07University of Virginia0.022.5%1st Place
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12.82University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.430.8%1st Place
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8.44Clemson University0.233.4%1st Place
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11.31William and Mary-1.421.2%1st Place
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14.18University of North Carolina-2.190.5%1st Place
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13.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 27.1% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William McCollum | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
| Erik Volk | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| John TIS | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 17.7% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Craig | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 5.6% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 43.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 23.6% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.